=STRH=/=LOCK= vs PUNCH! war analysis. (Thanks to kamarah)
Tribes: =STRH=, =LOCK=
Total conquers against opposite side:
Side 1: 0
Side 2: 7
Points value of total conquers against opposite side:
Side 1: 0
Side 2: 28,762
Being the tribe who declared war, one would expect a spike in village caps for =STRH= at the time of declaration. Any organised tribe would have at least a half decent plan of attack before declaring war. However, there has been no village caps by =STRH= or =LOCK= as of the time of this writing. Also considering the relative size of PUNCH vs =STRH= and the much greater average points per players, it does not look good for the side of =STRH=. Add in that the majority of the shared area between the two tribe are a few clusters of =STRH= isolated within PUNCH! controlled territory, and it looks even worse.
However, with PUNCH! apparently more focused on the REL war (as clearly shown by the =STRH=/PUNCH! war thread, which quickly devolved to discussion about REL vs PUNCH!) =STRH= may still have a fighting chance.
The main weakness of =STRH= is that they are primarily comprised of smaller members, which means they lack nobles. It takes either a lot of time or extreme coordination for their players to cap a village under those conditions. With the PUNCH! players being obviously experienced, taking a village by running a single noble back and forth is out of the question, which leaves coordinating nobles across multiple players as the only option.
If =STRH= can take advantage of the REL distraction, then they could potentially make a recovery in this war. It could buy them some of the time they need to put together the coordination they need to be successful in this war. Considering their past past war with STORM, which they lost 8 villages and gained none, their hopes are grim. Also add in their recent massive merger with former second place k34 tribe, KOH, i expect that they are more disorganized than ever. It does not look like any other k34 tribes are going to jump in to help either.
With the large border =STRH= shares with Act1, we may see another side joining in against them, which would likely result in a massive exodus of players away from =STRH= and their eventual disbandment.
The only thing that I think can save them now is if they cut all of the mass-recruit-fat and reform under a different name with only their good players. =STRH= does have quite a few good members, but they are burdened by all of the other. - February 7th 2011
=STRH= has since disbanded - February 11th[/spoil]
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