Just one quick note on the whole "Phoenx declared, so they should have more caps/have been more ready/RAM was not prepared" argument.
First off, I agree that trying to figure out how a war is going by simply looking at statistics is asinine. I have a different story to tell, however ...
Anyone who has watched the history of TWC/RAM knows how they operate.
1. TWC/RAM has a NAP/alliance/"friendship" with Tribe A.
2. Suddenly, TWC/RAM recruits a couple of players (or more) well outside their core territory, but very close to Tribe A, under the premise that "they are good players, and they wanted in, so ..."
3. Alternatively, TWC/RAM continues to infringe on Tribe A's territory by cutting off the expansion or food of Tribe A, bit by bit. In both (2) and (3), "friendly" discussions and negotiations continue with Tribe A - "we're no threat, we'll never attack, it's a misunderstanding, let's talk about this some more later ..." as a stalling tactic.
4. TWC/RAM is well aware that TWC/RAM's aggressive actions/mergers/recruitment policy will inevitably force Tribe A to take action against TWC/RAM, and prepares for the conflict accordingly by preparing both target lists/battle groups and defensive stacking.
5. Eventually, the pressure on Tribe A to defend its territory becomes unbearable, and Tribe A declares on the "unsuspecting" TWC/RAM.
Anyone who has played in the South knows this to be the case.
TWC v. KBC - TWC kept infringing on territory, abusing the terms of the NAP, stacked rival WOR players and incited them to attack KBC to pull defenses and nukes away from RAM territory, recruited spies inside KBC, and eventually, war broke out.
TWC v. CRY - Does this history need to be repeated?
TWC v. PMP - KarmaX, I'm sure you remember how this happened quite well, no?
RAM v. Phoenx - Shipley told me flat out on Skype that "RAM will never break the NAP, will never attack Phoenx." True indeed - but what happened before Phoenx declared? Yep, escalating skirmishes and "negotiations" over targets and territories, RAM recruiting D2 players far from the core of RAM but on Phoenx' doorstep ...
I look at the history, and then I read in PnP that RAM took in ~B~ players that were DECIDE food and next door to DECIDE players ... I read where RAM leadership was "negotiating" with LEGION leadership while purportedly laughing at how "stupid" LEGION was to be believing them ... and I wonder if anyone else is pondering what I am pondering?
I am not saying TWC/RAM's approach to TW is "improper." It's not how I would prefer to play, but it seems to be working for them - they ARE currently number one.
I just wanted to offer a bit of balance to the RAM players (and outsiders) who make it seem like the Phoenx declaration was in any way unexpected by RAM or somehow caught them unawares.
Yes, Phoenx declared, RAM did not.
That has more to do with how each side plays the game than anything else. Phoenx throws it's metaphorical dick on the table and says "f--k you, we're coming after you;" RAM is the Eddie Haskell of W30 - always scheming with a smile on it's face, reaching out to shake your hand while the other hides a knife behind it's back.