Stats and Predictions - Top 10 tribes

Discussion in 'World 90' started by Novembre, Nov 26, 2016.

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  1. Novembre

    Novembre Forum Personality 2016

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    In recent weeks most of posts we have seen here concerned the top 3 tribes, their growth direction and diplomacy. For every statement made about one of top 10 tribes there was always someone immediately denying it as a false claim. Propaganda and misinformation is what externals are for but not all statements can be denied. Stats, skype conversations and messages are the reliable sources of information (assuming they are genuine not photoshopped)

    Personally I love the stats, once they are put together in tables they give us a solid insight into strengths and weaknesses of the tribes, they can indicate internal issues and the growth direction.

    Today I have spend some time gathering data for our top 10 tribes. The first table focuses on general tribal information while table 2 shows recent gains and losses.

    For more significant stats I used three shades of green and red to mark the strongest and worst performance excluding Return and WZAP as they are newly established tribes and it is difficult to compare them against the rest. Also some well performing tribes are much smaller so I took into consideration their size while comparing with the larger tribes.

    [​IMG]

    The first table shows few interesting facts. Looking at points per player 7th in ranking C9 is in the lead while 6th 2HARD is the last followed by FnB and ANTZ. It is an indicator of quality of those tribes, where a lot of members are low point accounts. When we look at tribal changes we see the same pattern with C9, TEA and BIP being on top while FnB, 2HARD and ANTZ going through a lot of changes. It comes to poor recruitment policies trying to keep the tribe around 45 member mark. In comparison TEA also has 44 members but they recruitment is all about quality. Inviting top accounts from surrounding tribes while eating the rest is a very effective growth strategy. TEA seams to master it to perfection.

    Moving on to table two it shows total gains and losses as well as the last 4 days to identify which tribes have been being the target for our top 10.

    [​IMG]

    The first three columns of the table show number of internals and barbs captured by each tribe. Interesting fact is seeing 91 barbs captured by BIP followed by ANTZ (73) and 2HARD(66). On the opposite side we have Infamy with 0 barbs and C9 with 5. With barbs nobling it often comes to tribal policy, strategy and location. Sometimes especially for core tribes it is the easy way to grow or even the only way to grow. ANTZ will use that strategy even more as they are running out of options and Kirk doesn't mind it at all, they will noble every single one soon, then turtle up. It will be very difficult to fight them with that very high density of defensive villages. C9 and Infamy are using barbs as source of income, which is better? Time will tell.

    Moving on to the last 4 days TEA has internalled 15 villages while WET 12 taking another 17 barbs. As I mentioned before TEA uses a strategy to recruit top accounts and internal inactive players as they go. It looks like WET had few players that dropped out as well this week, another sign of internal issues?

    For every tribe I have made 2 columns with tribes they gained the most from. Jager has been destroyed by TEA while the same happened to STAND thanks to BIP. Both BIP and ANTZ have been gaining from FnB while BiP lost 6 villages fo FnB in return. TEA had their fight with WET loosing 11 villages but we all know the fighting stopped. Infamy and C9 are clearing their back lines while 2HARD is gaining from DEFY and OH MAN.

    So what can be said about future based on those last 4 days?

    Knowing that TEA has lost villages to Dread Doctors who has left WET they will now try to op him possibly eliminating one of the best payers on their eastern front line. A lot depends on what happens with WET. If they start having more internal issues the whole thing might simply create a long term feeding ground for TEA. It does't look good for the south. My prediction is TEA is going to hit them hard taking it all as that is much weaker spot than their northern border. If they succeed that is a big step towards the world win.

    In the mean time the core will skirmish slowing the growth of ANTZ, FnB, BIP, Return and WZAP. The other tribes have the rim to grow and they might be quickly gaining in the rankings.

    Some other interesting facts:
    - 12 is the number of internals TreX made so far, the most on W90
    - BiP has lost 7 villages to FnB and 3 to 2HARD in the last 4 days.
    - ANTZ went on barb nobling spree ten days ago capturing barbs only for few days now to stop, are they getting ready for something?


    That is it for today. Hope you enjoyed the read please add some comments.


     
    Last edited: Nov 26, 2016
  2. HumbleRevolution

    HumbleRevolution Non-stop Poster

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    Definitely worth a read.
     
  3. DeAdMaX

    DeAdMaX Active Member

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    Bip have lost 30 vills to 2HARD in the war. Not 3

    Side 1:
    Tribes: 2HARD
    Side 2:
    Tribes: BiP

    Timeframe: Forever

    Total conquers:

    Side 1: 364
    Side 2: 561
    Difference: 197

    [​IMG]

    Total conquers against opposite side:

    Side 1: 30
    Side 2: 9
    Difference: 21

    [​IMG]

    Points value of total conquers:

    Side 1: 1,235,547
    Side 2: 2,055,620
    Difference: 820,073

    [​IMG]

    Points value of total conquers against opposite side:

    Side 1: 190,186
    Side 2: 57,004
    Difference: 133,182

    [​IMG]
     
  4. DeAdMaX

    DeAdMaX Active Member

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    Good thread btw
     
  5. HumbleRevolution

    HumbleRevolution Non-stop Poster

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    Emphasis on the 4 days
     
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  6. DeAdMaX

    DeAdMaX Active Member

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    My bad
     
  7. TreXboom

    TreXboom Skilled Soldier 2017

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    Gimme them internals <3
    [​IMG]
    My merge with my coplayer, and moving to a new FL. Means 2 internals in reality.

    Jager munchies:
    [​IMG]
     
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  8. MEGAQUIB

    MEGAQUIB Guest

    nice to see TreX and Jake doing what they do best, merge accounts
     
  9. TreXboom

    TreXboom Skilled Soldier 2017

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    I don't know you, you don't know me. Now leave me alone. :|
     
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  10. Lord Arbalester

    Lord Arbalester Active Member

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    Novembre nice post bro.Keeping everything alive here :)
    Just a few mistakes concerning not the stats but the writen part.STAND wasnt destroyed by BiP,STAND was part of Fal well their academy,ANTZ were warring them and pretty much eating as we wished,BIP prolly declared war on them to improve their war stats because of 2Hard eating them.
    FaL and STAND were destroyed by ANTZ.most credit should go there.
    As for barb nobleing, ANTZ have a nkn barb policy,but it was lifted for a day to gain some bonus barbs amd everyone tooked how much they could lol
    Yes,ANTZ clusters will be very hard to fight against but about the turtleing you are wrong,thr number of villas conquered and the ratio in war stats show you that ANTZ have plenty of nukes to go around :)
     
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  11. Candid Confession

    Candid Confession Non-stop Poster

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    Good read. It's great to see the time spent on pulling these data and make it presentable to us readers. Applauds on the efforts.
     
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  12. atmospherecf

    atmospherecf Tribe Mate of the Year 2016

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    Good read and good work mate
     
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  13. Destructere

    Destructere Well-Known Member

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    Nice work! Fun to read :)

    But sad to see people come with even MORE propaganda (looking at you Lord Analester).

    Just checked twstats fast on my phone cos im busy atm. But BiP was the first to noble STAND. Antz had 1 small noble before us on FAL. Only reason why we didnt hit them so hard at first was our placement. There were tons of other vills to noble before atleast we (King Banana) would even bother to go for them.

    Currently holding rank 1 ODA also, so we dont deserve to be mentioned in the fall of FAL/STAND ? Yeah brag yourself up in the sky. Cant wait untill i rim your fat ass out of this world.

    - PG / Master Rim'mer :p
     
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  14. Lord Arbalester

    Lord Arbalester Active Member

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    I didnt say you dont deserve to be mentioned in the failure of FaL family.
    i said you dont get all the credits.
     
  15. Destructere

    Destructere Well-Known Member

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  16. Apathetic h0llygh0st

    Apathetic h0llygh0st Consumer of Beverages

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    I know you, do you know me?
    I don't dislike you and I like Jake. But you have to admit that the 2 of you are possibly the most iconic internallers in TW for the last few years... Every world you show up, you internal far above average.
     
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  17. japeetje

    japeetje Well-Known Member

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    But when a player quits isn't only fair that the most active accounts gets more than the less active accounts?
     
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  18. Sinful Angel

    Sinful Angel Contributing Poster

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    DVBBS was the most famous for internalling when on w80 he internalled for months straight, oh wait Jake played that account :O
     
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  19. THE MURPH ALL CAPS

    THE MURPH ALL CAPS Contributing Poster

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    This is a red herring. Everything Jake and Trex do is far above average. You can apply this to war caps, sitting, farming and I could go on and on. None of that is weighted in your argument. Give over with the internaling crap! Great account, people, friends and Dukes. Meet them at your peril.
     
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  20. Apathetic h0llygh0st

    Apathetic h0llygh0st Consumer of Beverages

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    Fair enough, in Dutch we have a saying: "Hoge bomen vangen veel wind."
    Which means something along the lines off, high profile figures/successful figures receive a lot of criticism.. (Literal translation is: "Tall trees catch a lot of wind.")
     
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