You had me with you until you went egomanical at the end....lol
It does look like this is the direction that HOT wants to take this, at least for now. I guess it would be possible for them to launch a major counterstrike, but it's highly unlikely something like that could be done in secret, when so many are now involved.
You might also be right about it not being good strategy for Aten to wait, either.
However, I do think you are wrong with your forecast about the situation on the Aten vs. St front.
The real interesting issue will be how long HOT will let things go, when ST starts to collapse. My guess is that sooner, or later, HOT will attack Aten. Either hotheads will step too far over the imaginary line that is being drawn; there will be some kind of major sneak attack; or HOT will have to step in to avoid ST collapsing.
Scarus
Thanks for agknowledging it made some sense. Yeah i did get egotistical a bit at the end, but besides that... That is my forecast. Perhaps I am right, perhaps I am wrong on the old front line forecast, but that is my opinion on the matter, I could be incorrect I do not believe so(if we are discussing the line being pushed back towards Aten, if Aten chooses to only pursue the old front). Support troops wise, and if Aten chooses to pursue the action and plan they have been doing so far... I see the line being pushed back even with only the new "claimed runner" HoT tribes launching attacks if we so choose to continue attacking each other.
Aten may still launch at me, but for the time, I will not be as I am not a sole entity by any means. Until I am told to retal or attack freely, you'll see me paused for a few days.
I believe a bit more support would have made all the difference in the ST/Aten war, I mean realistically, Aten was moving the front, inch by inch, but considering it took about 8 months to move one fourth of a continent on the front, continuing at the same pace.... it would have taken close to 15 years for Aten to beat the Saints at that pace.... While gains were made by both sides, in all honesty.. the gains were miniscual in comparison to the scope of the players/villages involved.
I believe 3:1 odds of Aten vs. ST(villages was just enough to eventually win(aten that is), 2-2.5Aten villages Vs. 1 ST villages... and I believe the odds makers would have favored ST.
Drop the villages to 1:1 and I would have bet my 401k on ST by far.
*shrug* 8 months, outnumbered roughly 70kAten villages to 25k ST villages... and ST still nobled more Aten, then Aten nobled ST villages, Every month, consistently. Even on months with major Aten ops. Aten definetly has some flagship/elite branches and some elite players, but the majority are not even in the same league as your elites.
8months, a few hundred million offensive troops sent long range, 75,000 villages, grossly outnumbering an opponent 3 to 1 and the highlight/claim to fame of the entire Aten war is " we moved a quarter of the way into K34". In all honesty, recruiting STW has gotten Aten, it least 4 times as much territory in K34, then every op, every attack, every support troop they ever sent to K34 over the last 8 months.
ST were a battle hardened group who village for village, I'd have matched up against any tribe on W2 in all honesty.
I'm in no way advocating for or against warring, just stating my opinions on the "old ST/Aten" front, and that war. This is a new era, what happens we will all find out soon, but if anyone does war, as I'v always done. I wish everyone good luck.
-Pepper