Alright Noobatos, time for a war update!
What have happened since last time?
* Overall thoughts of the war so far
* Total caps / current trend
* Top/bot player several categories
* What to come/predictions
Overall thoughts of the war so far
Dragon have now completed their war with KnD which has resulted in a few more accounts being able to send attacks on BIO. Dragon because of that is more invested than before and I expect the war to scale up a bit in the upcoming weeks from dragon side.
BIO on the other hand have had some trouble with players leaving them etc, forcing them to direct some of their firepower in that way. Still, playing at Nocturne, I do see some more accounts failing to do dmg at Noc now than last I wrote a update.
In terms of ODA/Enemy ODD ratio we have seen some changes, and due to a lot more total OD on both side we can now begin to see a pattern.
When I write this Dragon side has a ratio of 0,70 while Bio is looking at a 0,53 ratio.
This tells us that Dragon side still have the upper hand in terms of nuke efficiency but the difference is now a bit smaller. 0,70 is to be considered quite ok while a 0,53 ratio really should be improved by BIO. What it tells us though is that BIO now have a bit better control deff wise than before and makes a bit better trades.
Something to take note of here is that Dragon side has both more ODA and more ODD in the war and that is fairly uncommon. I do expect this to change shortly though.
| Conquered villages | Point increase | Defeated opponents while attacking | Defeated opponents while defending |
|---|
| Summary | | | | |
| Your tribe | 218 | 1.807.044 | 47.311.873 | 79.777.029 |
| Enemy | 165 | 1.422.964 | 42.032.356 | 68.058.124 |
* Total caps / current trend
We see dragon side winning in the south, where bio lost most of their control of k65 due to attacks from Kunis/dragon but also players leaving them. In k55 we don´t see any movement at all and in k45 and north I would say that bio has the upper hand. We also had Ultrafuse banned for a while, but I don´t think that changed anything in the war.
In total caps we are now looking at 218-165 to dragon side. a difference of 53. These numbers are still very low but bare in mind that Kunis is not included in warstats due to them not wanting I guess?
We see about 1/3 of BIO caps coming in on the very same day which tells us that this was some kind of OP from them. Dragon side on the other hand eats more slowly every day. This does prove that these small numbers can change very quickly, and that BIO does have power in their OPs.
I´d say that the current trend and the momentum is still on dragon side on this one.
* Top/bot player several categories
Top 5 ODA
In terms of ODA for players there is a clear difference. We see one account having more ODA in the war than the rest of top 5 combined. Nocturne account is located in the southern border and has almost all villages in frontline which explains the accounts ability to be here. Also bear in mind that nocturne have not taken part of the KND op from dragon and have been into the war since day 1. On the list we also have Lord Chickenugget who is located in the north and seems to be able to launch without anyone able to stop them. Penetier is located in frontline k55 and has lately got quite a bit of ODA.
Top 5 ODD
Nothing strange here. We have Nocturne account who should be considered the most attacked account in this war that have most of the ODD: Again, location and time spent in this war adding to this account so far being unchallenged on this list. Further down we see north account Zidrox who took a big hit in the northern OP and lost some villages there as well shortly followed by the most northern account in thi war who is isolated. What's quite interesting is that only 2 accounts on this list is actually netto minus in terms of caps.
Top 5 Gains
Here we can see Nocturne again being the unchallanged leader of gains. Jokern and iDisbelieve both being on 0 lost villages tell us that they took part of a big hit and the enemies probably didn´t try to insta retake of any kind. most dragon caps in south, most bio caps in north.
* What to come/predictions
We see both sides being a bit more into the war than last time. Some areas are open and a lot of ground is getting lost for bio. Upcoming weeks will be very important for bio as they cannot afford being on the loosing end in this war for long. I expect bio to try to focus mostly in 2 areas, splitting focus into trying to cap north and trying to slow down the southern part gaining ground from them. Even though bio has tried this before it has not had any effect and they might try something else in the future. Last time I gave bio about 80% chance to win but I think that dragons chances have improved a lot.
Seeing just numbers and position I would give bio about 55% right now if they can stabilize their leadership.
BIO need a game plan and play proactive. They need to find themselves some players that can handle a frontline and they need to refocus their deff. They need to look into why their trades are at low 0,5 ratio.
Dragon side need more accounts to get into the war and to help with noble pressure. Dragon also have to start pressuring frontline accounts to take away frontline efficiency from BIO.
Remember that this is just my own thoughts of the war and most shouldn´t be considered as facts.
Until next time. Kisses/ Abel
